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Dow six-bear comparison: update

Posted on Tuesday, July 27, 2010 at 04:25PM by Registered CommenterSimon Ward | CommentsPost a Comment

The Dow Industrials index has rallied back to within 4% of the "six-bear average" path, based on recoveries after previous large US stock market declines – see chart and prior post for more details. This follows a 10% undershoot in early July.

The average moves sideways into the autumn; the Dow may struggle to exceed it without an improvement in liquidity indicators. (As a follow-up to yesterday's post, the Eurozone monetary base fell again last week – the fourth consecutive decline.)

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