Dukes of hazard
The Federal Open Market Committee’s decision to lower the Fed funds and discount rates by 50 b.p. represents a bold attempt to forestall the negative economic impact of recent financial market dislocation. Visibility is low and there is a risk that the Fed has jumped the gun – current economic indicators remain consistent with expansion and market stresses were starting to abate before the surprise move. The consensus is convinced that further cuts will follow but a scenario of “one and done” should not be ruled out. Remember August 2005 in the UK?
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